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With the price of gold fluctuating, is its reputation as a ‘safe asset…

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작성자 playbbs 작성일 26-06-21 22:35 조회 156 댓글 0

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With the fluctuating price of gold, is its reputation as a ‘safe asset’ cracking?

Written on: June 21, 2026 | Column by current affairs critic specializing in IT/media

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The hottest potato in the recent investment market is definitely gold. The price of gold, which has been on a roll since the beginning of the year, surpassing the 1 million won level, has recently been adjusting from its high point, making investors nervous. It is time to closely analyze why gold, which has been called a byword for a safe asset, is suddenly faltering, and whether this is an opportunity to buy low or a sign of further decline. It is time to go beyond simply checking the numbers on the price tag and read the warning message that the gold price sends in the flow of the global economy.

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The biggest driving force behind the decline in gold prices can be found in the hawkish policy stance of the U.S. Federal Reserve System (Fed). Despite recently freezing the base interest rate, the Federal Reserve sent a strong signal of tightening to the market by leaving open the possibility of further interest rate hikes within the year. Since gold is essentially an asset that does not generate interest or dividend income, when market interest rates rise, its investment attractiveness is bound to drop sharply compared to interest-earning assets such as government bonds or deposits. In fact, as U.S. Treasury yields remain high following the Federal Reserve's remarks, many global investors are reducing their gold holdings and turning their attention to dollar assets, leading to an 'escape rush'.

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The strength of the dollar is also a key variable holding back gold prices. As U.S. economic indicators appear stronger than expected and the outlook for prolonged high interest rates strengthens, the value of the dollar, the world's key currency, is showing a strong upward trend, reaching a new all-time high. International gold prices are usually expressed in dollars, so when the value of the dollar rises, the price competitiveness of gold is bound to weaken. In this situation, as the dollar monopolizes the status of a virtual 'safe asset' instead of gold, it is clearly observed that the demand for gold is decreasing compared to the past.

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Easing geopolitical risks also contributed to the correction in gold prices. The recent news of an interim peace agreement between the United States and Iran has resulted in a significant decrease in tensions in the Middle East region. So far, the geopolitical crisis has acted as a strong safe asset premium that pushes up the price of gold, but as the possibility of military conflict decreases and uncertainty in the energy supply chain resolves, market anxiety quickly calms down. As a result, investors have less reason to insist on gold as a hedge against inflation, and as oil prices fall and inflationary pressures ease, downward pressure on gold prices has intensified.

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However, the trend in the domestic market shows a somewhat different pattern from the downward trend in the international market. Although the international gold price continues to be weak, fluctuating between $4,100 and $4,200 per ounce, the domestic gold price is showing limited volatility as the variable of the rising won-dollar exchange rate partially offsets the decline. This is because when the exchange rate rises, the price of gold converted into Korean won becomes relatively more expensive. Therefore, a sophisticated approach is required for domestic investors to establish an investment strategy by not simply looking at trends in international gold prices, but also taking into account exchange rate movements and the supply and demand situation in the domestic real market.

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■ Conclusion and analysis outlook

Overall, gold prices have left behind the sharp rise at the beginning of the year and are currently entering a correction phase in which they are searching for direction. The three factors of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the strength of the dollar, and changes in the Middle East situation are weighing down the price of gold, but in the long term, the buying trend of each country's central banks and potential economic uncertainty still support the lower end of gold. In conclusion, rather than blindly following gold, now is the time to closely monitor changes in macroeconomic indicators and manage risks through split purchases or asset allocation strategies. This is a moment when we need the insight to read the big trends of the economy, rather than being distracted by the noise of the market, more than ever.

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* This post is a commentary by PlayBBS that analyzed real-time Google Trends popular search terms and related major articles.

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