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작성자 playbbs 작성일 26-06-17 07:28 조회 621 댓글 0

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A huge trend revealed as the saturation in the Middle East eased: the semiconductor rally and a new horizon for the stock market

Written on: June 17, 2026 | Column by current affairs critic specializing in IT/media

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중동의 포화가 걷히자 드러난 거대한 흐름: 반도체 랠리와 증시의 새 지평
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The huge dark cloud that has been weighing down financial markets around the world over the past few months has finally begun to clear. As the conflict between the United States and Iran reaches a dramatic stage with an agreement to end the war, investment sentiment that had been suppressed due to geopolitical risks is exploding with explosive energy. As inflation fears diluted with the plunge in international oil prices, the market's attention quickly shifted again to the key drivers of future industries, such as artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductors. The Dow hitting an all-time high and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surging are milestones that clearly show what today's capital markets are racing toward.

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The market's rapid rebound went beyond the simple easing of geopolitical tensions and served as an opportunity to reaffirm the market's strong trust in the expansion of AI infrastructure. News of the signing of a memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran led to a decline in oil prices, alleviating concerns about inflation, which in turn led to an influx of buying into technology stocks. In particular, the surge in stock prices of memory semiconductor companies, led by Micron, reflects the market's confidence that demand for high-performance semiconductors for AI, such as HBM, still outstrips supply. Investors are now placing more value on the structural growth potential of the AI ​​industry than the uncertainty of war, which has resulted in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index hitting an all-time high.

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The Korean stock market is also gaining strong momentum at the center of this global boom. Major domestic semiconductor stocks, such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, are once again leading the rally, raising expectations for a 10,000-point era in the domestic stock market. Among securities research center heads, there is prevailing optimism that the KOSPI's mid- to long-term upward trend will continue as semiconductor performance improves and the government's shareholder-friendly policy stance coincides. In particular, the fact that foreign investors are once again turning to the domestic market and recording large net purchases suggests that the Korean stock market is not simply swayed by external factors but is being recognized for its own fundamentals.

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The changes in the global investment market are also clearly visible in the portfolio of Seohak Ants. Individual investors, who had neglected the U.S. market for a while thanks to the boom in the domestic stock market, were quick to return to the U.S. stock market as soon as they confirmed the strong profitability of the semiconductor industry. In particular, the huge amount of money flocking to 'SOXL', a leveraged product that tracks the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index's return rate by 3 times, means that individual investors are judging this semiconductor rally not to be a simple short-term rebound but a trend upward trend. However, given that such aggressive leveraged investments can be vulnerable to market volatility, a sophisticated strategic approach is required from investors.

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Meanwhile, in this market trend, the emergence of new technology companies such as SpaceX symbolically shows the dynamism of the market. The fact that it shook up the market by entering the top 5 in market capitalization immediately after listing and surpassing Amazon suggests that the focus of investment is expanding beyond traditional big tech to include aerospace and future new industries. In addition, the case of the Nikkei index, which exceeded the 70,000 level for the first time despite the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, clearly shows how much relief the resolution of policy uncertainty provides to the market. In this way, stock markets around the world are entering a new phase, riding the wave of huge changes such as normalization of interest rates and easing of geopolitical risks.

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■ Conclusion and analysis outlook

The current stock market rally is an inevitable result of the resolution of geopolitical uncertainty and the AI technology revolution. The market is now focusing on the sustainability of the AI ​​infrastructure investment cycle and the performance momentum of each company rather than the short-term fluctuations in oil prices. What message the Federal Reserve sends at the upcoming FOMC regular meeting will be an inflection point in the future market, but the preference for risky assets, especially technology stocks, is not expected to weaken for the time being. Rather than being intoxicated by the joy of the current upward trend, investors need the wisdom to cool-headedly analyze the structural growth and policy changes in the semiconductor industry and reorganize their portfolios from a mid- to long-term perspective.

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* This post is a commentary by PlayBBS that analyzed real-time Google Trends popular search terms and related major articles.

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