AI 패권 전쟁과 증시의 격랑: 앤트로픽의 ‘미토스 충격’과 시장의 대전환 > 뉴스

It is a shocking incident that the US government completely blocked foreign access to Antropic's top AI models, Mythos and Fable series. The United States made its case based on the guidelines of national security authorities, but the reality of the specific threat was shrouded in mystery and only brought out the hard-line card of 'export control'. Antropic is strongly opposing this action, saying it was a technical error in judgment that misunderstood the 'jailbreak' technique routinely used by security experts as a risk. However, the U.S. Department of Commerce's actions were decisive enough to ignore Antropic's refutation and force a halt as soon as it received intelligence that the system's firewall was vulnerable to external attacks. This is interpreted as a result of the US administration's strong will to block the possibility of AI technology being misused for destructive purposes such as military hacking or manufacturing biochemical weapons.

This incident is not just a service interruption for one company, but has brought to the surface the deep-rooted conflict between AI developers and the government. Previously, Antropic had an uneasy relationship with the administration, with negotiations for military use with the Ministry of Defense breaking down and the company being classified as a 'supply chain risk company'. This service blocking is seen as an attempt by the U.S. government to directly exercise technological control over Antropic, and is likely to signal strengthening of regulations across the AI ​​industry in the future. Antropic is making every effort to restore service, pointing out the opacity of the legal process, but this restriction, which will last for several weeks until the security system is overhauled, is expected to significantly limit the speed of technology development and deployment methods in the global AI market. This can be said to be a typical growing pain that occurs when the two values ​​of technological openness and national security clash.

Amid growing anxiety over AI, the domestic stock market has regained rapid warmth thanks to the strong positive news of expectations for the end of the war in the Middle East. The fact that foreign investors, who had been selling without stopping for 25 trading days, switched to large-scale net buying is interpreted as a very positive signal for the market. As the conflict between the United States and Iran reached a dramatic agreement, the preference for risky assets revived, which became the driving force for the KOSPI to immediately recover to the 8,000 level. As foreign funds were concentrated in large-cap stocks such as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, the KOSDAQ market also reached the 1000 SDAQ level again, showing signs of improvement in overall investment sentiment. This rebound clearly demonstrated how quickly alleviating external geopolitical risks can change the supply and demand structure of the domestic stock market.

Along with the boom in the stock market, concerns are growing about the deterioration in the quality of household debt, represented by ‘debt investment’. The fact that other loans, such as credit loans, are growing more prominently than home mortgage loans suggests that market liquidity is focused on speculative demand, such as borrowing money to enter the stock market, rather than productive investment. Meanwhile, the movement of funds from global asset management companies to companies with stable performance and clear shareholder return policies, such as KT&G, is also evidence that the market is gradually looking for mature investment destinations. The expansion of KT&G's shares by large global players such as Blackrock and Capital Group is interpreted as a long-term investment that highly values ​​the growth potential of the company's main business and dividend attractiveness rather than short-term market profits. Ultimately, the current stock market is going through a complex phase in which external factors such as the resolution of geopolitical risks and internal factors of instability such as household debt are mixed.